Match Info

Primavera 1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Curva Fiesole - Viola Park (Bagno a Ripoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Primavera TV, Sportitalia


	Roma U20		Fiorentina U20

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.55	2.85
	2.17	3.77	2.96
	2.16	3.8	2.94	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.08	3.7	2.87
	2.14	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.9)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	2.91 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma U20
43.2%

Draw
25.4%

Fiorentina U20
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

21.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma U20 than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Roma U20 - Fiorentina U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. De Marzi G. (G) 16. Mannini M. 13. Nardin F. 19. Reale F. 22. Cama C. 8. Levak S. 6. Romano A. 18. Coletta F. 10. Graziani L. 7. Marazzotti F. 24. Della Rocca M.	22. Leonardelli P. (G) 26. Kouadio E. 4. Baroncelli L. 17. Romani L. 19. Trapani N. 16. Keita B. 6. Gudelevicius E. 8. Harder J. 31. Scuderi G. 9. Tarantino J. 66. Rubino T.
Substitutes
21. Almaviva M. 31. Bah M. 37. Ceccarelli A. 23. Di Nunzio A. 5. Golic L. 41. Marcaccini A. (G) 29. Marchetti T. 14. Mirra J. 4. Seck M. 28. Sugamele A. 34. Zefi K.	27. Balbo L. 28. Bertolini G. 24. Braschi R. 63. Caprini M. 21. Deli L. 25. Elia M. 10. Ievoli M. 7. Lamouliatte H. 18. Puzzoli G. 5. Sadotti E. 40. Vannucchi T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Graziani L. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Rubino T. ⚽,
44', Keita B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Scuderi G. ↓, Balbo L. ↑,
55', Della Rocca M. ↓, Zefi K. ↑,
55', Marazzotti F. ↓, Di Nunzio A. ↑,
61', Di Nunzio A. 🟨,
64', Tarantino J. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
64', Gudelevicius E. ↓, Ievoli M. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Harder J. ⚽,
72', Levak S. ↓, Sugamele A. ↑,
81', Nardin F. ↓, Almaviva M. ↑,
83', Rubino T. ↓, Braschi R. ↑,
89', Harder J. ↓, Deli L. ↑,
90+1', Kouadio E. 🟨,

Preview

Roma U20 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fiorentina U20 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Roma U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fiorentina U20 has had a series of home games.

Roma U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Roma U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Roma U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma U20
Italian Primavera 1
16.05.25	Roma U20 - Atalanta U20	4:1 ✺
09.05.25	Empoli U20 - Roma U20	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Roma U20 - Inter U20	2:2 ✺
28.04.25	Genoa U20 - Roma U20	1:2 ✺
14.04.25	Sassuolo U20 - Roma U20	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWW
- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
23.05.25	Fiorentina U20 - Juventus U20	4:1 ✺
16.05.25	Fiorentina U20 - Torino U20	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Lazio U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Fiorentina U20 - Genoa U20	4:1 ✺
28.04.25	Fiorentina U20 - Monza U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
10.02.25	Roma U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:1
30.09.24	Fiorentina U20 - Roma U20	3:1

Roma U20 - Fiorentina U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide