The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Romana 36.6%
Draw 31.5%
Nocerina 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
30.1%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
33.1%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Romana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Romana than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Citarella F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Cardella F. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Romana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nocerina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Romana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.