Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday


	Rosario Central 2		Sarmiento de Junín 2

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.52	3.55	6.4	Watch
	1.53	3.56	6.46	Watch
	1.42	3.7	7
	1.48	3.56	6.99
	1.52	3.55	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.87)	3.57 ↑ (3.2)	6.46 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central 2
60.5%

Draw
25.4%

Sarmiento de Junín 2
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central 2's performance.

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Junín 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosario Central 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rosario Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Cantizano G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 0, Sanchez G. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

Rosario Central 2 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sarmiento 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rosario Central 2 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rosario Central 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Rosario Central 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.03.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
20.03.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Rosario Central 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Rosario Central 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTW
- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
26.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:1 ✺
19.03.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:2 ✺
11.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Lanús 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
04.03.23	Rosario Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0
08.07.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:2

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