Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga NOFV-Nord - Round 27

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Rostocker FC		RSV Eintracht

	1	X	2
	2.55	4	2.2
	2.54	4.34	2.2
	2.59	4.4	2.18
	2.65	4.01	2.2
	2.55	4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.12)	4.15 ↑ (4.04)	2.2 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostocker FC
35.8%

Draw
22.2%

RSV Eintracht
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

23%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

22.3%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostocker FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rostocker FC's performance.

RSV Eintracht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RSV Eintracht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostocker FC than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rostocker FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RSV Eintracht than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RSV Eintracht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Kremer D. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Ben-Cadi K. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
56', 2 - 3, ⚽,
73', 2 - 4, ⚽,
81', 2 - 5, ⚽,
82', 2 - 6, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 7, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Rostocker is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches RSV Eintracht is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RSV Eintracht will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rostocker won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Rostocker won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rostocker FC
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
05.05.24	Union Fürstenwalde - Rostocker FC	0:4 ✺
27.04.24	Rostocker FC - Lichtenberg	0:8 ✺
20.04.24	Anker Wismar - Rostocker FC	6:2 ✺
13.04.24	Rostocker FC - Optik Rathenow	1:4 ✺
05.04.24	Dynamo Schwerin - Rostocker FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- RSV Eintracht
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
05.05.24	RSV Eintracht - Sparta Lichtenberg	1:3 ✺
28.04.24	RSV Eintracht - Union Fürstenwalde	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Lichtenberg - RSV Eintracht	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	RSV Eintracht - Anker Wismar	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Optik Rathenow - RSV Eintracht	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
04.11.23	RSV Eintracht - Rostocker FC	1:3
04.03.23	Rostocker FC - RSV Eintracht	0:1
17.09.22	RSV Eintracht - Rostocker FC	1:1
12.06.22	Rostocker FC - RSV Eintracht	1:4
06.11.21	RSV Eintracht - Rostocker FC	4:2

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