Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Rot-Weiß Ahlen		Düren

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.83
	3.31	4.12	1.97
	3.2	4.12	1.96
	3.5	3.77	1.89
	3.3	3.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.65)	3.89 ↑ (3.73)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
27.7%

Draw
23.7%

Düren
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

24.8%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.3%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Düren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Düren than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Rot Weiß Ahlen - Düren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Ahlen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Düren is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Düren will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ahlen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
20.04.24	Bocholt - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	5:0 ✺
13.04.24	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	4:2 ✺
23.03.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wegberg-Beeck	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- 1.FC Düren
German Regionalliga West
20.04.24	Düren - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Düren	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Düren - Gütersloh	2:2 ✺
28.03.24	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Düren	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Düren - Lippstadt 08	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
04.11.23	Düren - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:3
29.04.23	Düren - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	7:0
05.11.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Düren	1:2

Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Düren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide