Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 18

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Rot-Weiß Ahlen		Rödinghausen

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.72
	4.5	3.75	1.7
	4.58	3.87	1.79
	4.58	3.87	1.72
	4.2	3.9	1.6
	4.21	3.75	1.69
	4.5	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (4.98)	3.78 ↓ (4.17)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
21.3%

Draw
24.4%

Rödinghausen
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

22.3%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

22%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Rödinghausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rödinghausen than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rödinghausen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rot Weiß Ahlen - Rödinghausen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Rödinghausen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rödinghausen is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ahlen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
02.03.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Lippstadt 08	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:2 ✺
17.02.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wiedenbrück	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Schalke 04 II	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Paderborn II - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWT
- SV Rödinghausen
German Regionalliga West
02.03.24	Rödinghausen - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Rödinghausen - Schalke 04 II	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Rödinghausen	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Rödinghausen - Wuppertal	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Düren - Rödinghausen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
29.07.23	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:0
31.03.23	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:1
07.10.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Rödinghausen	1:1
30.04.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Rödinghausen	2:1
20.11.21	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	0:1
15.05.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Rödinghausen	2:1
28.11.20	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:0

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