Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 33

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Rot-Weiß Ahlen		Borussia Mönchengladbach II

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.7	1.87
	3.25	3.75	1.95
	3.45	3.89	1.98
	3.43	3.89	1.93
	3.38	3.84	1.91
	3.3	3.75	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.09)	3.8 ↓ (4.06)	1.92 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
27.7%

Draw
24.3%

Borussia Mönchengladbach II
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

22.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

22.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach II than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Naderi R. D. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Cejas P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, ⚽,
51', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Ahlen is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 1.

Ahlen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Borussia Mönchengladbach II is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borussia Mönchengladbach II will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Ahlen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
04.05.24	Wuppertal - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Düren	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Bocholt - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	5:0 ✺
13.04.24	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL
- Borussia Mönchengladbach II
German Regionalliga West
04.05.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Fortuna Köln	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:3 ✺
20.04.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Gütersloh	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Lippstadt 08	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
18.11.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:1
24.02.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:2
03.09.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:2
09.04.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	4:1
30.10.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	3:1
17.04.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:0
14.11.20	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:2

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