Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 3

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Niederrheinstadion (Oberhausen)


	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2
	3.3	3.75	1.95
	3	3.82	2.06
	3.14	3.93	1.94
	3.21	3.68	1.95
	3.3	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.4)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
29.2%

Draw
24.4%

Duisburg
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

23.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

23.8%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Oberhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rot-Weiß Oberhausen's form might have worsened.

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duisburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Oberhausen than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rot-Weiß Oberhausen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duisburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rot Weiß Oberhausen - Duisburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Sussek P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 2, Muller L. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Oberhausen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duisburg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duisburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Duisburg is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oberhausen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Oberhausen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
German Regionalliga West
03.08.24	Wuppertal - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:5 ✺
27.07.24	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Gießen	3:3 ✺
06.07.24	Adler Union Frintrop - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:9 ✺
02.07.24	Verl - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTWL
- MSV Duisburg
German Regionalliga West
03.08.24	Duisburg - Türkspor Dortmund	5:0 ✺
26.07.24	Gütersloh - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Bonner - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Duisburg - Hibernian	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Sonsbeck - Duisburg	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.17	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Duisburg	1:2

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