Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 5

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Niederrheinstadion (Oberhausen)


	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen		Velbert

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.55	4.85
	1.54	5.09	4.65
	1.49	4.3	5.11
	1.41	4.5	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	4.61 ↑ (4.5)	5.14 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
62.1%

Draw
20%

Velbert
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

14.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Oberhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Velbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Oberhausen than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rot-Weiß Oberhausen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rot Weiß Oberhausen - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oberhausen won 3.

Oberhausen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Velbert's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Oberhausen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Oberhausen is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Oberhausen won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:6. (average 2.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oberhausen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
German Regionalliga West
16.08.25	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	5:1 ✺
10.08.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Bonner	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Gütersloh	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.25	TSV Havelse - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLLW
- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
17.08.25	Velbert - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Bochum II - Velbert	2:2 ✺
01.08.25	Velbert - Wuppertal	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Velbert	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
06.02.24	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:3
04.08.23	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Velbert	2:2
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:4
07.07.18	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:1
German Regionalliga West
23.04.16	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Velbert	3:0
07.11.15	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:4
17.05.14	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Velbert	3:1

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