Match Info

Date: 8 September 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Rotor 2		Tuapse

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Rotor 2
45.8%

Draw
26.1%

Tuapse
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

19.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Tuapse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tuapse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor 2 than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rotor 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuapse than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuapse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Rotor 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tuapse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rotor 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tuapse have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor 2
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
29.08.21	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rotor 2	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Rotor 2 - Forte Taganrog	1:2 ✺
07.08.21	Rotor 2 - Alania 2	1:1 ✺
01.08.21	Druzhba Maykop - Rotor 2	0:2 ✺
24.07.21	Anzhi Makhachkala - Rotor 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWL
- FC Tuapse
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
04.09.21	Tuapse - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
29.08.21	Forte Taganrog - Tuapse	3:0 ✺
20.08.21	Tuapse - Kuban-Kholding	0:0 ✺
15.08.21	Tuapse - Alania 2	3:1 ✺
07.08.21	Tuapse - Druzhba Maykop	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWW

Rotor 2 - Tuapse