Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Rotxapea		Ardoi

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.95	1.99
	2.91	3.99	1.96
	2.85	4.07	2.03
	2.54	3.8	2.21
	2.9	3.95	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (4.33)	3.95 ↓ (3.98)	2.04 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotxapea
32.3%

Draw
23%

Ardoi
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

22.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

22.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotxapea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rotxapea's performance.

Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ardoi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotxapea than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rotxapea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ardoi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Arizcuren Mugueta A. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Olcoz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 0 - 3, Abaurrea E. ⚽,
60', 0 - 4, Ezkiaga G. ⚽,
62', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Rotxapea is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ardoi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ardoi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ardoi is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rotxapea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotxapea CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
03.05.25	Beti Onak - Rotxapea	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Rotxapea - Gares	3:0 ✺
16.04.25	Pamplona - Rotxapea	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Cortes - Rotxapea	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Rotxapea - Egüés	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWTLL
- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
03.05.25	Ardoi - Mutilvera	2:2 ✺
25.04.25	Ardoi - Huarte	0:1 ✺
16.04.25	Beti Kozkor - Ardoi	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Ardoi - Beti Onak	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Cirbonero - Ardoi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
11.01.25	Ardoi - Rotxapea	4:1

Rotxapea - Ardoi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide