Match Info

Nike liga - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Štadión pod Čebraťom (Ružomberok) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dzivjak L. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovakia	15:30	Voyo


	Ružomberok		Žilina

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.60	2.15
	2.90	3.60	2.02
	3.01	3.75	2.26
	3.07	3.7	2.14	Watch
	2.95	3.60	2.20
	2.90	3.70	2.20	Watch
	2.85	3.60	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.52)	3.65 ↓ (3.89)	2.17 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ružomberok
31.7%

Draw
25.4%

Žilina
42.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.5%

24%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

23.3%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ružomberok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ružomberok's performance.

Žilina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Žilina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ružomberok than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ružomberok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žilina than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Žilina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ružomberok - Žilina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Žilina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krajcirik I. (G) 16. Kostl D. 5. Marusin T. 2. Mojzis A. 31. Kostka D. 10. Soucek F. 4. Luteran O. 28. Selecky A. 15. Bacik M. 14. Hladik J. (C) 19. Hranos V.	31. Sipos D. (G) 25. Albin J. 28. Narimanidze A. 17. Minarik J. 21. Hranica T. 66. Kacer M. (C) 11. Bzdyl F. 20. Bari K. 23. Fasko M. 16. Ilko P. 95. Roginic M.
Substitutes
30. Boda M. 22. Buchvaldek T. 20. Chobot M. 25. Grgic D. 34. Huska D. (G) 24. Jevos P. 26. Kelemen M. 23. Prekop D. 17. Tucny A.	6. Adang X. 9. Baleja P. 99. Bilalovic K. 10. Florea A. 90. Homet Ruiz D. 26. Tarcsi T. (G) 19. Traore M.
Coaches
Hercut M.	Vesely V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Fasko M. (Penalty Awarded),
16', 0 - 2, Narimanidze A. ⚽, Bzdyl F. (A),
25', Narimanidze A. 🟥,
27', 1 - 2, Selecky A. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Hladik J. 🟨,
34', Kostl D. 🟨,
35', Bari K. 🟨,
41', 2 - 2, Kostka D. ⚽, Bacik M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fasko M. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
69', Hranos V. ↓, Chobot M. ↑,
69', Soucek F. ↓, Buchvaldek T. ↑,
70', Ilko P. ↓, Florea A. ↑,
70', Bari K. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
78', Hladik J. ↓, Boda M. ↑,
78', Bacik M. ↓, Tucny A. ↑,
85', Mojzis A. ↓, Kelemen M. ↑,
90', Bzdyl F. ↓, Homet Ruiz D. ↑,
90+1', Kostka D. 🟨,
90+1', Albin J. 🟨,
90+2', Kacer M. ↓, Adang X. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the Nike liga (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Nike liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ružomberok won 2.

Ružomberok has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Žilina is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Žilina is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ružomberok has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:27 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ružomberok against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:11 goals (averaging 1.9:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Zilina	12	6	4	2	29:24	5	22
11	Ruzomberok	12	2	3	7	11:25	-14	9

Outrights of Slovak Superliga for now

Zilina: 2.04% Ruzomberok: 0.63%

Last Results with these Odds

Ružomberok - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.54%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Žilina - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.44%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Ružomberok
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Ružomberok - Opava	1:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
19.09.26	MFK Košice - Ružomberok	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ružomberok - Zemplín Michalovce	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Ružomberok - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Trenčín - Ružomberok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWTL
- MSK Žilina
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sigma Olomouc - Žilina	4:0 ✺
Slovak Superliga
19.09.26	Žilina - Trenčín	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Slovan Bratislava - Žilina	3:3 ✺
05.09.26	Žilina - Podbrezová	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Spartak Trnava - Žilina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Superliga
06.12.25	Žilina - Ružomberok	1:2
31.08.25	Ružomberok - Žilina	3:3
03.11.24	Ružomberok - Žilina	1:0
29.10.24	Žilina - Ružomberok	3:1
11.05.24	Ružomberok - Žilina	1:1
12.04.24	Žilina - Ružomberok	0:0
28.10.23	Ružomberok - Žilina	0:2

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