Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Rubin Yalta		Nart Cherkessk

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.22	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.4)	3.22 (3.22)	2.66 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Yalta
38.3%

Draw
27.9%

Nart Cherkessk
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Yalta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nart Cherkessk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nart Cherkessk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Rubin Yalta - Nart Cherkessk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Ositsin A. ⚽,
24', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Dashaev A. (Own goal),
65', 1 - 2, Dashaev A. (Own goal),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rubin Yalta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rubin Yalta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rubin Yalta	24	11	7	6	35:24	11	40
6	Nart Cherkessk	24	11	4	9	33:21	12	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
20.06.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Rubin Yalta	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Rubin Yalta - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Angust Nazran - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Rubin Yalta - Spartak Nalchik	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Dinskaya - Rubin Yalta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWTL
- Nart Cherkessk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
20.06.26	Nart Cherkessk - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Chayka 2 - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Nart Cherkessk - FC Sevastopol	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Dinskaya - Nart Cherkessk	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Nart Cherkessk - Spartak Nalchik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
02.08.25	Nart Cherkessk - Rubin Yalta	2:0
03.05.25	Rubin Yalta - Nart Cherkessk	0:1
19.10.24	Nart Cherkessk - Rubin Yalta	0:3

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