Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 17

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Rugenbergen		Hamm United

	1	X	2
	3.9	4	1.63
	3.75	4.1	1.62
	3.78	4.46	1.69
	3.96	4.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.08)	4.18 ↑ (3.83)	1.65 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rugenbergen
23.5%

Draw
21.6%

Hamm United
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

23.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

22.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rugenbergen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rugenbergen's form might have worsened.

Hamm United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamm United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rugenbergen than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rugenbergen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamm United than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamm United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent matches Rugenbergen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamm United has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rugenbergen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hamm United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rugenbergen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Rugenbergen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Rugenbergen
German Oberliga Hamburg
21.10.22	Osdorf - Rugenbergen	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Rugenbergen - Altona	1:4 ✺
12.10.22	Curslack Neuengamme - Rugenbergen	1:3 ✺
09.10.22	Rugenbergen - TuRa Harksheide	1:1 ✺
30.09.22	HEBC Hamburg - Rugenbergen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWTT
- Hamm United
German Oberliga Hamburg
21.10.22	Hamm United - Victoria Hamburg	1:3 ✺
11.10.22	Eimsbütteler - Hamm United	3:0 ✺
30.09.22	Hamm United - Dassendorf	0:5 ✺
25.09.22	TSV Buchholz 08 - Hamm United	1:0 ✺
16.09.22	Hamm United - Hamburger III	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
22.04.22	Hamm United - Rugenbergen	0:1
13.03.22	Rugenbergen - Hamm United	2:0
18.09.20	Hamm United - Rugenbergen	2:0
22.11.19	Hamm United - Rugenbergen	1:4
27.07.19	Rugenbergen - Hamm United	1:2

Rugenbergen - Hamm United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide