Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Hamburg - Round 31

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Rugenbergen		Union Tornesch

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.2	3.1
	1.9	4.48	3.09
	1.9	4.48	3.09
	1.88	4.06	3.31
	1.85	4.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.63)	4.28 ↓ (4.48)	3.14 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rugenbergen
49.1%

Draw
21.5%

Union Tornesch
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

20.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

20.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rugenbergen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rugenbergen's form might have worsened.

Union Tornesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Tornesch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rugenbergen than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rugenbergen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Tornesch than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Tornesch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Haase P. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Stannis M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 3 - 0, Haase P. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rugenbergen won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Rugenbergen have a series of home games.

In this match Rugenbergen is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rugenbergen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Rugenbergen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Rugenbergen
German Oberliga Hamburg
14.04.24	Rugenbergen - Altona	0:3 ✺
07.04.24	Rugenbergen - Wandsbeker Concordia	3:0 ✺
28.03.24	Rugenbergen - Süderelbe	2:4 ✺
24.03.24	ETSV Hamburg - Rugenbergen	3:0 ✺
17.03.24	Rugenbergen - TSV Buchholz 08	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLLW
- Union Tornesch
German Oberliga Hamburg
14.04.24	Union Tornesch - Wandsbeker Concordia	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	TSV Buchholz 08 - Union Tornesch	1:0 ✺
28.03.24	ETSV Hamburg - Union Tornesch	3:3 ✺
24.03.24	Union Tornesch - Paloma Hamburg	1:0 ✺
19.03.24	Halstenbek-Rellingen - Union Tornesch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.4 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
22.10.23	Union Tornesch - Rugenbergen	2:3
26.02.23	Union Tornesch - Rugenbergen	2:1
18.09.22	Rugenbergen - Union Tornesch	1:6
10.04.22	Rugenbergen - Union Tornesch	0:3
17.10.21	Union Tornesch - Rugenbergen	3:1
20.10.19	Union Tornesch - Rugenbergen	1:2

Rugenbergen - Union Tornesch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide