Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Résidence Walferdange		UNA Strassen

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.65	1.72
	3.65	3.70	1.73
	3.85	3.90	1.79
	3.70	3.70	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.53)	3.74 ↑ (3.71)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Résidence Walferdange
24.2%

Draw
24.1%

UNA Strassen
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

24.1%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

23.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Résidence Walferdange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

UNA Strassen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Résidence Walferdange than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNA Strassen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 3)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, UNA Strassen has had a series of home games.

UNA Strassen might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	8	8	0	0	17:2	15	24
8	Walferdange	8	5	0	3	16:10	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Résidence Walferdange
Luxembourg National Division
30.08.26	Etzella Ettelbruck - Résidence Walferdange	0:5 ✺
02.08.26	Résidence Walferdange - Hostert	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Résidence Walferdange - Luxembourg City	2:4 ✺
16.07.26	Lorentzweiler - Résidence Walferdange	3:5 ✺
15.07.26	Résidence Walferdange - Jeunesse Esch	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWW
- UNA Strassen
Luxembourg National Division
30.08.26	UNA Strassen - Atert Bissen	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Progrès Niedercorn - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
04.08.26	UNA Strassen - Victoria Rosport	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	UNA Strassen - Partizan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL

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