Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 6

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	São Caetano		ECUS

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São Caetano
50%

Draw
29.7%

ECUS
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

30%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

29.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ECUS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ECUS than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

ECUS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São Caetano is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.02.26	São Caetano - Penapolense	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Jacareí - São Caetano	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	São Caetano - Nacional SP	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	São Caetano - Jabaquara	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Inter de Bebedouro - São Caetano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWWL
- Esporte Clube União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.02.26	ECUS - VOCEM	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Penapolense - ECUS	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	ECUS - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Taquaritinga - ECUS	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	ECUS - Comercial SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLTWT

São Caetano - ECUS