Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	São Caetano		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.05	2.15
	3.2	2.93	2.28
	3.13	3.13	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.05)	3.04 ↑ (3)	2.23 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
28.7%

Draw
30.2%

São Bernardo
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

20.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Caetano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Bernardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

São Caetano - São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

São Bernardo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

São Bernardo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.10.21	Piracicaba - São Caetano	1:2 penalties ✺
23.10.21	São Caetano - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
19.10.21	São Caetano - CA Juventus	4:0 ✺
15.10.21	Lemense FC - São Caetano	4:0 ✺
12.10.21	São Caetano - Taubaté	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTWLW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Copa Paulista
27.10.21	São Bernardo - EC São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	EC São Bernardo - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
19.10.21	São Bernardo - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
12.10.21	EC São Bernardo - São Bernardo	0:3 ✺
05.10.21	Santos 2 - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
20.08.20	São Caetano - São Bernardo	4:3
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.02.13	São Bernardo - São Caetano	4:1

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