Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Comendador Abílio Ferreira de Oliveira (Santo Tirso)


	São Martinho		Bragança

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.92	2.42
	2.77	2.88	2.52
	3.36	3	2.16	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.3
	2.98	3.29	2.26
	2.71	2.85	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.85)	2.97 ↓ (3.22)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Martinho
31.3%

Draw
30.4%

Bragança
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.9%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Martinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

São Martinho - Bragança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

São Martinho is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bragança is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bragança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, São Martinho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, São Martinho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	GD Braganca	4	3	1	0	7:2	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.02.26	São Martinho - Vianense	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Ribeira Brava - São Martinho	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Tirsense - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	São Martinho - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Limianos - São Martinho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLTW
- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.02.26	Bragança - Ribeira Brava	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Vianense - Bragança	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Bragança - Celoricense	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tirsense - Bragança	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Vilaverdense - Bragança	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.09.25	Bragança - São Martinho	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.04.23	Bragança - São Martinho	3:1
08.01.23	São Martinho - Bragança	0:0
07.01.18	São Martinho - Bragança	4:1

São Martinho - Bragança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide