Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	SB Castelo Branco		Fontinhas

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.98	3.28	3.73
	1.86	3.38	3.72
	1.78	3.45	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.15)	3.35 ↑ (3.13)	3.86 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SB Castelo Branco
49.3%

Draw
27.1%

Fontinhas
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

27.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SB Castelo Branco's performance.

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fontinhas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SB Castelo Branco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fontinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

SB Castelo Branco - Fontinhas Predictions

Users Predictions: SB Castelo Branco will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches SB Castelo Branco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fontinhas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match SB Castelo Branco is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches SB Castelo Branco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams SB Castelo Branco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.10.23	União de Tomar - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	SB Castelo Branco - Oliveirense	1:2 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.09.23	SB Castelo Branco - Alverca B	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	SB Castelo Branco - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWT
- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.10.23	Fontinhas - Gouveia	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Canelas - Fontinhas	5:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.09.23	Vitória de Sernache - Fontinhas	4:1 ✺
27.08.23	SC Lusitânia - Fontinhas	0:0 ✺
20.08.23	Fontinhas - Rabo de Peixe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.22	Fontinhas - SB Castelo Branco	2:0
28.11.21	SB Castelo Branco - Fontinhas	0:1
09.02.20	SB Castelo Branco - Fontinhas	6:0
15.09.19	Fontinhas - SB Castelo Branco	0:2

SB Castelo Branco - Fontinhas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide