Match Info

Date: 11 October 2020, Sunday


	SC Makhachkala		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.83
	3.75	3.35	1.77
	4.17	3.65	1.81
	4.05	3.58	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.24)	3.5 ↑ (3.37)	1.8 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Makhachkala
23.1%

Draw
26.1%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

27.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

17.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC Makhachkala's form might have worsened.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernomorets Novorossiysk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC Makhachkala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernomorets Novorossiysk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

Recent matches Makhachkala is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chernomorets is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Makhachkala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chernomorets have a series of home games.

In this match Chernomorets is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Makhachkala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Makhachkala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Makhachkala
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
03.10.20	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - SC Makhachkala	1:2 ✺
28.09.20	SC Makhachkala - Yessentuki	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Kuban-Kholding - SC Makhachkala	3:0 ✺
13.09.20	SC Makhachkala - Krasnodar 3	4:2 ✺
06.09.20	Legion Makhachkala - SC Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLWT
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
04.10.20	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Dynamo Stavropol	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
25.09.20	Anzhi Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:2 ✺
20.09.20	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Spartak Nalchik	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
16.09.20	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rubin Kazan	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL South
14.09.19	SC Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:2

SC Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide