Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	SC Makhachkala		Dynamo Stavropol

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.8	3.1
	1.9	3.8	3
	1.99	3.65	2.85
	2.02	3.74	2.85
	2.06	3.8	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.61)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)	2.95 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Makhachkala
45.5%

Draw
23.9%

Dynamo Stavropol
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.6%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

20.8%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC Makhachkala's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Stavropol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Stavropol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC Makhachkala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Stavropol than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Stavropol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Makhachkala is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dynamo Stavropol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo Stavropol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Makhachkala is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Makhachkala won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Makhachkala won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Makhachkala
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
11.05.21	Anzhi Makhachkala - SC Makhachkala	2:2 ✺
04.05.21	SC Makhachkala - Spartak Nalchik	3:2 ✺
27.04.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SC Makhachkala	3:0 ✺
21.04.21	SC Makhachkala - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	1:0 ✺
15.04.21	Yessentuki - SC Makhachkala	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWW
- FC Dynamo Stavropol
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
04.05.21	Dynamo Stavropol - Anzhi Makhachkala	3:2 ✺
27.04.21	Spartak Nalchik - Dynamo Stavropol	2:0 ✺
21.04.21	Dynamo Stavropol - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
15.04.21	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Dynamo Stavropol	0:1 ✺
10.04.21	Dynamo Stavropol - Yessentuki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 1
31.10.20	Dynamo Stavropol - SC Makhachkala	1:1
Russian PFL South
20.10.19	SC Makhachkala - Dynamo Stavropol	2:0

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