Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	SC Velbert		Meerbusch

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	1.95
	2.85	3.4	2.04
	2.9	3.65	1.95
	3.19	3.82	2.04
	3.02	3.94	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.8)	3.68 ↓ (4)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Velbert
30.3%

Draw
24.5%

Meerbusch
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

17.6%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Meerbusch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Velbert than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SC Velbert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meerbusch than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Meerbusch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SC Velbert - Meerbusch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).

SC Velbert is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Meerbusch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SC Velbert won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams SC Velbert won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Velbert
German Oberliga Niederrhein
03.12.21	Kleve - SC Velbert	8:0 ✺
27.11.21	SC Velbert - Baumberg	0:3 ✺
14.11.21	Düsseldorf-West - SC Velbert	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	SC Velbert - Union Nettetal	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Cronenberger - SC Velbert	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT
- TSV Meerbusch
German Oberliga Niederrhein
02.12.21	Meerbusch - Hilden	0:5 ✺
28.11.21	FSV Duisburg - Meerbusch	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Meerbusch - FC Mönchengladbach	5:2 ✺
07.11.21	Monheim - Meerbusch	1:3 ✺
31.10.21	Meerbusch - Germania Ratingen	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
06.09.20	Meerbusch - SC Velbert	2:1
08.03.20	Meerbusch - SC Velbert	0:1
08.09.19	SC Velbert - Meerbusch	1:1

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