Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	SC Velbert		Monheim

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	1.95
	3.15	3.45	1.89
	3.2	3.7	1.83
	3.28	3.68	1.86
	3.14	4.2	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.38)	3.73 ↓ (4.05)	1.88 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Velbert
28.5%

Draw
24%

Monheim
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

22.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

16.5%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC Velbert's form might have worsened.

Monheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Velbert than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monheim than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SC Velbert - Monheim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches SC Velbert is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monheim is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently SC Velbert have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches SC Velbert won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams SC Velbert won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Velbert
German Oberliga Niederrhein
29.08.21	Germania Ratingen - SC Velbert	2:0 ✺
22.08.21	SC Velbert - TuRU Düsseldorf	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Wülfrath - SC Velbert	1:1 ✺
16.07.21	Ennepetal - SC Velbert	4:0 ✺
10.07.21	Wuppertal - SC Velbert	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTLT
- 1. FC Monheim
German Oberliga Niederrhein
29.08.21	Monheim - Hilden	2:1 ✺
22.08.21	FSV Duisburg - Monheim	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Monheim - VfB Solingen	5:0 ✺
01.08.21	Monheim - Bonner	4:3 ✺
28.07.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Monheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
07.10.20	Monheim - SC Velbert	3:2
20.10.19	Monheim - SC Velbert	3:1
31.03.19	Monheim - SC Velbert	2:1
23.09.18	SC Velbert - Monheim	1:1

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