Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño)


	SD Logroñés		Barbastro

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.5	6.25
	1.53	3.5	7
	1.52	3.45	7.17
	1.52	3.42	7.14	Watch
	1.49	3.64	7.34
	1.53	3.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.98)	3.5 ↑ (3.13)	6.98 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
60.6%

Draw
26.2%

Barbastro
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Logroñés's performance.

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barbastro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barbastro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SD Logroñés - Barbastro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Ruiz N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', Ruiz N. 🟨,
89', Montero M. 🟥,

Preview

SD Logroñés is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barbastro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SD Logroñés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SD Logroñés is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.09.24	Anguiano - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	SD Logroñés - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	SD Logroñés - Teruel	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Calahorra - SD Logroñés	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
24.08.24	Eibar B - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWL
- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.09.24	Utebo - Barbastro	5:2 ✺
07.09.24	Barbastro - Eibar B	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Tudelano - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Barbastro - Binéfar	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Barbastro - Terrassa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

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