Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Play Out - Final

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño)


	SD Logroñés		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.08	3.35	3
	2.23	3.3	2.94
	2.08	3.65	3.01
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.03	3.42	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.24)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.97 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
42.8%

Draw
26.8%

Castellon B
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

25.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Castellon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

SD Logroñés - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Gil S. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 3-2.

In recent matches, SD Logroñés has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Castellon B is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Castellon B has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, SD Logroñés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	SD Logrones	5	0	2	3	4:11	-7	2

Last Results with these Odds

SD Logroñés - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.86%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.05.26	Castellon B - SD Logroñés	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	SD Logroñés - Tudelano	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	SD Logroñés - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Náxara - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.05.26	Castellon B - SD Logroñés	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.05.26	Castellon B - Girona B	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Barbastro - Castellon B	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Castellon B - Valencia B	0:4 ✺
12.04.26	Castellon B - Olot	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.05.26	Castellon B - SD Logroñés	2:3

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