Match Info

Primera Federacion Women - Round 17

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	SE AEM		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	5.59	3.38	1.58
	5.82	3.6	1.57	Watch
	6	3.2	1.53
	6.37	3.54	1.51
	5.66	3.6	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.89 ↑ (5.64)	3.46 ↑ (3.38)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SE AEM
15.4%

Draw
26.2%

Deportivo Alavés
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

26.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

30.3%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SE AEM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SE AEM than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Alavés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SE AEM - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga F Women).

AEM is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Alavés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

AEM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alavés is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEM won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AEM won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE AEM
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
24.01.26	Villarreal - SE AEM	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Madrid B - SE AEM	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	SE AEM - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Osasuna - SE AEM	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	SE AEM - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.1 WTTWW
- Deportivo Alavés Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
24.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid B	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Fundación Albacete - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona	1:6 ✺
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
13.12.25	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
14.09.25	Deportivo Alavés - SE AEM	3:1
20.04.25	SE AEM - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
24.11.24	Deportivo Alavés - SE AEM	0:0
16.03.24	Deportivo Alavés - SE AEM	1:1
10.12.23	SE AEM - Deportivo Alavés	0:0

SE AEM - Deportivo Alavés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide