Match Info

Primera Federacion Women - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	SE AEM		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.05	2.92
	2.31	3.1	2.85
	2.4	2.91	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.33)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)	2.91 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SE AEM
38.9%

Draw
30%

Villarreal
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for SE AEM have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SE AEM than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

SE AEM - Villarreal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Federacion Women (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

AEM has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villarreal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AEM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AEM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE AEM
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
04.10.25	Barcelona B - SE AEM	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	SE AEM - Valencia	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	SE AEM - Real Madrid B	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Alavés - SE AEM	3:1 ✺
07.09.25	SE AEM - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLT
- Villarreal CF Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
04.10.25	Villarreal - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Osasuna - Villarreal	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Villarreal - CE Europa	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Betis - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Villarreal - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
23.03.25	SE AEM - Villarreal	1:0
Spanish Copa De La Reina
20.11.24	SE AEM - Villarreal	1:2 penalties
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
06.10.24	Villarreal - SE AEM	1:0
Club Friendly Women
15.08.24	SE AEM - Villarreal	3:0

SE AEM - Villarreal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide