Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday


	SG Wattenscheid		Velbert

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	2.75
	3.2	3.65	1.85
	2.61	3.72	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.04)	3.71 ↑ (3.71)	2.3 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SG Wattenscheid
35.1%

Draw
24.8%

Velbert
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

24.5%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

24.7%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SG Wattenscheid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SG Wattenscheid's performance.

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Velbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SG Wattenscheid than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SG Wattenscheid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SG Wattenscheid - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

SG Wattenscheid is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Velbert is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Velbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently SG Wattenscheid have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SG Wattenscheid
Club Friendly
13.07.22	SG Wattenscheid - Homberg	3:1 ✺
06.07.22	SG Wattenscheid - Bövinghausen	0:1 ✺
German Oberliga Westfalen
06.06.22	SG Wattenscheid - Eintracht Rheine	2:0 ✺
29.05.22	TuS Erndtebrück - SG Wattenscheid	1:2 ✺
22.05.22	SG Wattenscheid - Siegen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- SSVg Velbert
Club Friendly
10.07.22	Velbert - Vreden	2:2 ✺
German Oberliga Niederrhein
10.06.22	Velbert - Bocholt	2:4 ✺
03.06.22	Meerbusch - Velbert	1:3 ✺
28.05.22	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Velbert	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Schonnebeck - Velbert	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLWLT

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