Match Info

Date: 1 October 2020, Thursday


	SG Wattenscheid		Westfalia Herne

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.5	3.5
	1.6	4.2	3.5
	1.58	4.03	4.35
	1.78	3.7	3.6
	1.61	4.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.37)	4.15 ↓ (4.75)	3.85 ↓ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SG Wattenscheid
55%

Draw
21.7%

Westfalia Herne
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

18.9%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.8%

16.2%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SG Wattenscheid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SG Wattenscheid's form might have worsened.

Westfalia Herne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Westfalia Herne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SG Wattenscheid than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SG Wattenscheid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westfalia Herne than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Westfalia Herne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SG Wattenscheid - Westfalia Herne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches SG Wattenscheid is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Herne has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Herne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

SG Wattenscheid will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SG Wattenscheid
German Oberliga Westfalen
27.09.20	Preußen Münster 2 - SG Wattenscheid	0:1 ✺
24.09.20	SG Wattenscheid - Finnentrop Bamenohl	1:0 ✺
20.09.20	Gütersloh - SG Wattenscheid	1:0 ✺
13.09.20	SG Wattenscheid - Kaan-Marienborn	1:1 ✺
06.09.20	Westfalia Rhynern - SG Wattenscheid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLTT
- Westfalia Herne
German Oberliga Westfalen
27.09.20	Westfalia Herne - TuS Erndtebrück	1:2 ✺
24.09.20	Preußen Münster 2 - Westfalia Herne	3:1 ✺
13.09.20	Finnentrop Bamenohl - Westfalia Herne	0:0 ✺
06.09.20	Westfalia Herne - Victoria Clarholz	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.20	Westfalia Herne - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

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