Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: OmaSp Stadion (Seinajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	SJK Akatemia		JäPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.15
	3.17	3.71	2.21
	3.05	3.7	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.65	2.13
	3.02	3.48	2.08	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.65)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	2.14 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SJK Akatemia
30.6%

Draw
26.2%

JäPS
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.8%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SJK Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

JäPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JäPS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK Akatemia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SJK Akatemia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JäPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

SJK Akatemia - JäPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. SJK Akatemia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). JäPS will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. James S. (G) 47. Cisse A. 17. Cisse M. 11. Hautamaki E. 22. Kangaskokko T. 5. Lehto E. (C) 8. Machaal A. 39. Nzoko E. 3. Raiski O. 24. Sairinen A. 23. Tollinen T.	77. Mustafa B. (G) 15. Dahlfors O. 6. Jama O. (C) 21. Katashira C. 17. Ketonen V. 19. Kuosa H. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 9. Ristola A. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R.
Substitutes
19. Achi A. C. 10. Berjali I. 32. Huttunen L. (G) 41. Padera P. 4. Pihlaja O. 15. Salmivuori E. 6. Vuksanovic N.	5. Arminen T. 8. Heidari R. 2. Manner N. 11. Pallas E. 13. Sainio A. 22. Taskos G. 36. Valtonen T. (G)
Coaches
Lopes P.	Kankkunen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Hautamaki E. ⚽, James S. (A),
13', Hautamaki E. ↓, Pihlaja O. ↑,
19', Tollinen T. 🟨,
22', Jama O. ↓, Heidari R. ↑,
45', Heidari R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, Heidari R. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Ristola A. ⚽, Katashira C. (A),
62', Cisse M. ↓, Berjali I. ↑,
62', Cisse A. ↓, Achi A. C. ↑,
77', Lehto E. 🟨,
78', Machaal A. ↓, Vuksanovic N. ↑,
78', Kangaskokko T. ↓, Padera P. ↑,
80', Tollinen T. 🟨,
85', 1 - 3, Katashira C. ⚽,
87', Dahlfors O. ↓, Pallas E. ↑,
88', Padera P. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Vuksanovic N. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK Akatemia won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

SJK Akatemia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, SJK Akatemia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SJK Akatemia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35
10	SJK Akatemia ✔	25	2	8	15	17:41	-24	14

Last Results with these Odds

SJK Akatemia - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SJK Akatemia
Finnish Ykkosliiga
30.08.26	SJK Akatemia - Klubi 04	2:6 ✺
21.08.26	Haka - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	JIPPO - SJK Akatemia	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.08.26	SJK Akatemia - PK-35 Vantaa	0:3 ✺
31.07.26	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWLL
- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
28.08.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	PK-35 Vantaa - JäPS	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	JäPS - Haka	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	JäPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	JIPPO - JäPS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
03.07.26	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	1:0
09.05.26	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	0:2
28.09.25	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	1:1
19.07.25	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	4:1
25.05.25	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	2:2
20.09.24	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	2:1
02.06.24	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	1:1

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