Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: RCOP-BGU Stadium (Minsk)


	SKA-1938		Volna Pinsk

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.42	3.41	Watch
	2.2	3.8	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.2)	3.61 ↓ (3.8)	3.02 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-1938
44.2%

Draw
25.4%

Volna Pinsk
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

23.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

22.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-1938 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Volna Pinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-1938 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Seledtsov D. (G) 10. Chul D. 3. Fedorovich F. 17. Kartoev A. 12. Konyakhin A. 9. Korytko M. 16. Lisovskiy V. 18. Mazko A. 6. Prigodich V. (C) 2. Sakovich A. 27. Slivin A.	12. Letsko S. (G) 15. Kibuk V. (C) 55. Lesnyak D. 91. Matyash D. 9. Nizhnik D. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 7. Radzhabov A. 21. Susha A. 33. Urbanovich V. 8. Vlasov A.
Substitutes
21. Isaev T. 19. Kazlovskiy V. (G) 28. Knyshev N. 8. Lukashenko E. 7. Nikiforenko M. 4. Royko D. 24. Shaban Y. 5. Silkin R. 23. Yaskevich M. 11. Zhlobich A.	6. Belous A. 10. Grechikha M. 16. Kirikovich S. (G) 4. Kuradovets A. 77. Nikoporenok E. 97. Oreshkevich J. 22. Samuylik A. 14. Stroychuk A. 11. Tkachik D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Matyash D. ⚽, Kibuk V. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Sakovich A. ⚽, Prigodich V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 2 - 1, Korytko M. ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: ) and 16).

SKA-1938 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Volna Pinsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Volna Pinsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Volna Pinsk has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-1938 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-1938 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SKA-1938	27	16	5	6	56:31	25	53
11	Volna Pinsk	27	10	4	13	40:50	-10	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarusian Cup
20.05.26	Minskaye Mora - SKA-1938	0:3
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
16.05.26	Smorgon - SKA-1938	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	SKA-1938 - BumProm Gomel	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Minsk 2 - SKA-1938	0:6 ✺
26.04.26	SKA-1938 - Osipovichi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
16.05.26	Volna Pinsk - Slutsk	3:2 ✺
08.05.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Volna Pinsk	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Volna Pinsk - Ostrovets	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Volna Pinsk - Slonim	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Volna Pinsk - BATE 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
20.09.24	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	3:2
20.10.18	SKA-1938 - Volna Pinsk	2:1
23.06.18	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	0:2
28.10.17	SKA-1938 - Volna Pinsk	1:1
01.07.17	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	2:0

SKA-1938 - Volna Pinsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide