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Current Win Probability
SSA 17.2%
Draw 31.8%
Fluminense de Feira 51%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
23.6%
57.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.8%
22.4%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Fluminense de Feira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense de Feira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SSA than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense de Feira than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense de Feira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SSA - Fluminense de Feira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Gustavo Custodio ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 1 - 2, Ze Gatinha (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
SSA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fluminense de Feira is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
SSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Fluminense de Feira is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SSA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
Including home match between the teams, SSA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Watch
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