Match Info

IRAN: Division 1 - Round 27

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday


	SaiPa		Kheybar Khorramabad

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.85
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	3.28	3.03	2.24
	3.25	3.15	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.31)	3.05 (3.05)	2.56 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
33.6%

Draw
30.3%

Kheybar Khorramabad
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

31%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SaiPa's form might have worsened.

Kheybar Khorramabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kheybar Khorramabad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SaiPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kheybar Khorramabad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

SaiPa - Kheybar Khorramabad Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kheybar Khorramabad will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kheybar Khorramabad: 68.4% – 100%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Tabatabaei M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

SaiPa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kheybar Khorramabad is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kheybar Khorramabad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

SaiPa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches SaiPa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams SaiPa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa FC
Iran Division 1
06.04.24	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - SaiPa	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	SaiPa - Shahrdari Astara	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Ario Eslamshahr - SaiPa	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Esteghlal Molasani - SaiPa	1:1 ✺
27.02.24	SaiPa - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTT
- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Division 1
09.04.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	2:1 ✺
03.04.24	Damash Gilan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
27.03.24	Khoosheh Talai - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Kerman	3:1 ✺
11.03.24	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
03.11.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - SaiPa	1:0
31.01.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - SaiPa	0:0
07.09.22	SaiPa - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1
16.03.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - SaiPa	2:1
12.11.21	SaiPa - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1

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