Match Info

Premiere Ligue Women - Round 4

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Salif Keita (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Gerbel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Saint-Étienne		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.5
	2.32	3.55	2.48
	2.73	3.93	2.22
	25.00	15.06	1.00	Watch
	2.38	3.48	2.5
	2.35	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↑ (2.56)	5.48 ↑ (3.53)	2.2 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
20.2%

Draw
22.9%

Olympique Marseille
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Étienne's form might have worsened.

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympique Marseille's recent form is better than expected.

Saint Étienne - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Pinguet A. (G) 29. Romanelli M. 12. Pierre-Louis A. (C) 15. Gajic A. 3. Tapia C. 13. Bataillard F. 14. Bien-Aime D. 7. Connesson A. 10. Corboz R. 22. Fon W. 11. Hornemann S.	30. Shore M. (G) 15. Blanchard N. 55. Carro M. 22. Couasnon R. 7. Laplacette T. 10. Bamenga N. 88. Elisor S. (C) 8. Le Mouel M. 77. Herrera M. 9. Bourdieu M. 17. Bourgouin L.
Substitutes
9. Cambot S. 33. Faure V. 18. Hermann L. M. 21. Istocki N. 4. Kristoffersen I. 17. Mansuy H. 1. Templier E. (G)	11. Brown J. 4. Joseph T. 18. Leger M. 5. Moryl M. 96. N'Gazi C. (G) 14. Perret J. 24. Scannapieco D.
Coaches
Mortel L.	Goncalves F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Laplacette T. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Bourdieu M. ⚽, Herrera M. (A),
17', Pierre-Louis A. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Herrera M. ⚽, Bourgouin L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fon W. ↓, Istocki N. ↑,
46', Bataillard F. ↓, Cambot S. ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Herrera M. ⚽,
59', Pierre-Louis A. ↓, Mansuy H. ↑,
59', Corboz R. ↓, Hermann L. M. ↑,
66', Bamenga N. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
69', Blanchard N. 🟨,
72', Brown J. 🟨,
76', Mansuy H. ↓, Kristoffersen I. ↑,
80', 0 - 4, Bourdieu M. ⚽,
81', Laplacette T. ↓, Perret J. ↑,
87', Bien-Aime D. 🟨,
90+3', Blanchard N. ↓, Joseph T. ↑,
90+3', Le Mouel M. ↓, Moryl M. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women).

Saint-Étienne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne Women
French Division 1 Women
26.09.25	Paris FC - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Saint-Étienne - OL Lyonnes	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	3:2 ✺
23.04.25	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- Olympique Marseille Ladies
French Division 1 Women
27.09.25	Olympique Marseille - Fleury 91	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Olympique Marseille - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	OL Lyonnes - Olympique Marseille	3:1 ✺
French Division 2 Women
18.05.25	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Orleans - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France Women
12.01.25	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	2:1
French Division 1 Women
14.05.17	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	3:1
18.12.16	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	0:2

Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide