Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Second stage

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday

Location: Wildey Turf (Bridgetown)


	Saint Lucia		Aruba

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.3
	2.1	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.06	3.6	3.49
	2.06	3.3	3.49
	2.05	3.5	3.3
	1.97	3.5	3.35	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.65)	3.49 ↓ (3.9)	3.34 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint Lucia
45.4%

Draw
26.7%

Aruba
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint Lucia's form might have worsened.

Aruba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aruba's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Saint Lucia - Aruba Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Saint Lucia will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Aruba will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint Lucia: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barclett V. (G) Cavalier 17. Solomon-Davies J. Bala 6. Doxilly M. Mount Pleasant 3. Thomas T. Charlton 19. Myers A. Portmore 2. Frederick K. W Connection 12. Joseph L. Old Road 20. Alexander C. 21. Nelson S. 11. Stanislas R. Grenades 14. Ginola Elva C. Erfurt	1. Lentink M. (G) GOES 2. Luydens D. Prespa Birlik 3. Lewis F. Aruba 14. Staal S. 5. Nedd K. Excelsior 7. Melchor C. 8. Bennet W. Sportclub Feyenoord 10. Richard J. ODIN '59 21. Perret Gentil T. Vitesse 9. Groothusen T. Sportlust 20. Marselia I. Romulus
Substitutes
23. Deterville G. (G) 9. Edward B. 22. Fitz D. 8. Henville L. 13. Pearson P. TUS Ennepetal 5. Ribot S. 10. Richard A. 16. Richard A. 15. Sandiford B. 4. Sherman A. Grenades 18. Theodore C.	13. Charles A. Britannia 18. Eisden J. (G) IJsselmeervogels 12. Jacobs M. 17. Kruydenhof J. 11. Maria B. DUNO 15. Nickelson P. 6. Ostiana R. 19. Uunen van J. GVV Unitas 22. van Kilsdonk C. 16. Wadhwani S. Deportivo Nacional

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Bennet W. ⚽, Perret Gentil T. (A),
32', Alexander C. ↓, Henville L. ↑,
43', 0 - 2, Marselia I. (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 2, Stanislas R. ⚽, Ginola Elva C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luydens D. ↓, Nickelson P. ↑,
46', Solomon-Davies J. ↓, Pearson P. ↑,
66', Marselia I. ↓, Maria B. ↑,
66', Perret Gentil T. ↓, Kruydenhof J. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Pearson P. ⚽, Ginola Elva C. (A),
79', Melchor C. ↓, Ostiana R. ↑,
88', Groothusen T. ↓, Charles A. ↑,
90+2', Doxilly M. 🟨,
90+3', Lewis F. 🟨,

Preview

Saint Lucia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Saint Lucia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Saint Lucia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint Lucia
FIFA World Cup
06.06.24	Haiti - Saint Lucia	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
19.11.23	Saint Lucia - Sint Maarten	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Guadeloupe - Saint Lucia	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Saint Lucia - Guadeloupe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLTLW
- Aruba
FIFA World Cup
08.06.24	Aruba - Curaçao	0:2 ✺
Friendly
23.03.24	Dominican Republic - Aruba	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
20.11.23	Aruba - Cayman Islands	5:1 ✺
16.11.23	United States Virgin Islands - Aruba	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Aruba - United States Virgin Islands	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
22.03.19	Saint Lucia - Aruba	3:2

Saint Lucia - Aruba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide