Match Info

FRANCE: DIVISION 1 WOMEN - ROUND 18

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Salif Keita (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Gerbel A. (Fra)


	Saint-Étienne		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.92	3.69	3.53
	1.91	3.69	3.53
	1.75	3.5	3.6
	1.82	3.62	3.7
	1.89	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.45)	3.58 ↓ (4.2)	3.54 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
49%

Draw
25.4%

Bordeaux
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

15%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Étienne's form might have worsened.

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bordeaux's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Étienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Gignoux-Soulier M. (G) 21. Belkhiter M. 13. Bataillard F. 28. Carage N. 3. Tapia C. 4. Mbadi A. 11. Otu R. 12. Pierre-Louis A. 10. Champagnac S. (C) 18. Caputo C. 8. Lamontagne A.	16. Lerond J. (G) 23. Lardez A. 5. Haelewyn M. 25. Diaz H. 19. Karlicic J. 29. Bourgouin L. (C) 6. Seguin M. 26. Liaigre F. 17. Kim A. 15. Sangare H. 9. Queiros S.
Substitutes
23. Benera B. 15. Blanchard N. 22. Browne P. 25. Dowd H. 17. Elmore K. 30. Gery A. (G) 20. Job T.	21. Autin L. 24. Bahlouli N. 14. Dehri M. 1. Haviv A. (G) 18. Herbert A. 10. Lafaix C. 27. Pinot L.
Coaches
Mortel L.	Dauba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Otu R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Pierre-Louis A. ↓, Browne P. ↑,
62', Queiros S. ↓, Pinot L. ↑,
63', Mbadi A. ↓, Elmore K. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Lamontagne A. ⚽, Caputo C. (A),
68', Haelewyn M. ↓, Autin L. ↑,
78', Seguin M. ↓, Bahlouli N. ↑,
79', Kim A. ↓, Lafaix C. ↑,
82', Tapia C. 🟨,
84', Lafaix C. 🟨,
87', Caputo C. ↓, Dowd H. ↑,
87', Otu R. ↓, Benera B. ↑,
89', Sangare H. 🟨,
90+4', Bahlouli N. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 Women).

Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bordeaux is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Saint-Étienne is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne Women
French Division 1 Women
16.03.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Étienne	5:0 ✺
17.02.24	Saint-Étienne - Reims	4:3 ✺
10.02.24	Saint-Étienne - Dijon	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Le Havre - Saint-Étienne	4:2 ✺
Coupe De France Women
27.01.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLL
- Girondins de Bordeaux Women
French Division 1 Women
16.03.24	Bordeaux - Dijon	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Montpellier - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Le Havre - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Bordeaux - Paris FC	2:6 ✺
03.02.24	Bordeaux - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Women
16.12.23	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	1:4
26.02.22	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	3:0
28.08.21	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	1:1
19.03.17	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	0:0

Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide