The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saint-Étienne 25.5%
Draw 25.2%
Montpellier 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
25.7%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
25%
46.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Saint Étienne - Montpellier Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Pinguet A. (G) 12. Pierre-Louis A. 17. Mansuy H. 15. Gajic A. 3. Tapia C. 10. Corboz R. 13. Bataillard F. 9. Cambot S. (C) 19. Ali Nadjim N. 11. Hornemann S. 7. Connesson A.
1. Lerond J. (G) 3. Levasseur M. 18. Rastocle J. 6. Palis E. 35. Baylet C. 17. Coquet J. 14. Rambaud E. 22. Gstalter L. 8. Ouchene S. (C) 11. Rouquet J. 21. Ngueleu N.
Substitutes
22. Fon W. 18. Hermann L. M. 21. Istocki N. 4. Kristoffersen I. 8. Lamontagne A. 1. Templier E. (G)
28. Bacoul-Juillard K. 9. Chabod C. 27. Chaine R. 20. Felden A. 99. Kadzere R. 33. Koko I. 40. Yilmaz C. (G)
Coaches
Joseph S.
Chandioux Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
6', Rouquet J. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Rouquet J. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Corboz R. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Rouquet J. ⚽, Ouchene S. (A),
45+1', 2 - 2, Hornemann S. ⚽, Tapia C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 3 - 2, Hornemann S. ⚽, Cambot S. (A),
57', Pierre-Louis A. ↓, Kristoffersen I. ↑,
64', Rambaud E. ↓, Chaine R. ↑,
64', Ngueleu N. ↓, Koko I. ↑,
65', Connesson A. ↓, Lamontagne A. ↑,
67', Tapia C. 🟨,
75', Baylet C. ↓, Kadzere R. ↑,
81', 4 - 2, Corboz R. (Pen),
82', Gstalter L. ↓, Bacoul-Juillard K. ↑,
82', Coquet J. ↓, Chabod C. ↑,
84', Chaine R. 🟨,
86', Corboz R. ↓, Hermann L. M. ↑,
86', 🟨,
86', Ali Nadjim N. ↓, Fon W. ↑,
89', Lamontagne A. 🟨,
90+3', Chabod C. 🟨,
90+4', Chaine R. 🟨,
90+4', Cambot S. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 0.
Saint-Étienne is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Montpellier has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Saint-Étienne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Montpellier could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:28. (average 0.5:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.8:4).