Match Info

Date: 29 April 2021, Thursday


	Sakhalin		Metallurg Vidnoe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	4.75	3.7
	1.55	4.25	4.5
	1.56	4.1	4.1
	1.62	4.97	3.68
	1.53	4.5	4.75
	1.59	4.2	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.95)	4.46 ↑ (3.75)	4.21 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakhalin
57.9%

Draw
20.5%

Metallurg Vidnoe
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

24.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

16.8%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakhalin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakhalin's performance.

Metallurg Vidnoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Vidnoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakhalin than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakhalin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Vidnoe than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Vidnoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sakhalin - Metallurg Vidnoe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Sakhalin has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Metallurg Vidnoe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Sakhalin have a series of guest games.

In this match Sakhalin is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sakhalin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sakhalin
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
23.04.21	Strogino Moskva - Sakhalin	4:0 ✺
18.04.21	Salyut Belgorod - Sakhalin	2:1 ✺
11.04.21	Krasnoye Znamya - Sakhalin	1:0 ✺
06.04.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Sakhalin	3:0 ✺
02.04.21	Sakhalin - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLT
- Metallurg Vidnoe
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
23.04.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - Salyut Belgorod	0:5 ✺
18.04.21	Krasnoye Znamya - Metallurg Vidnoe	3:1 ✺
12.04.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:0 ✺
06.04.21	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Vidnoe	5:0 ✺
01.04.21	Khimki 2 - Metallurg Vidnoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
24.08.20	Metallurg Vidnoe - Sakhalin	3:0

Sakhalin - Metallurg Vidnoe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide