Match Info

Meistriliiga Women - Round 21

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Saku Sporting		Paide

	1	X	2
	4.90	4.70	1.41
	5.23	6.20	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (4.9)	5.45 ↑ (4.7)	1.4 (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saku Sporting
18%

Draw
16.7%

Paide
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

18.8%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

18.2%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Saku Sporting have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Paide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saku Sporting than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Treiberg E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Saulus K. ⚽,

Preview

Saku Sporting has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paide is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

In this matchup, Paide is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Saku Sporting has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:13 (averaging 2.3:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Saku Sporting against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:6 goals (averaging 2.5:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Paide Linnameeskond W	21	14	0	7	63:34	29	42
3	Saku Sporting W	21	11	2	8	55:47	8	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saku Sporting Women
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
26.09.26	Saku Sporting - Flora Tallinn	1:5 ✺
19.09.26	Paide - Saku Sporting	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	Viimsi JK - Saku Sporting	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Saku Sporting - Elva	5:1 ✺
29.08.26	Harju JK Laagri - Saku Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWT
- Paide Linnameeskond Women
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
26.09.26	Paide - Elva	9:1 ✺
19.09.26	Paide - Saku Sporting	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Paide	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Paide	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Paide - Viimsi JK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga Women
19.09.26	Paide - Saku Sporting	4:2
26.07.26	Saku Sporting - Paide	4:2
16.05.26	Paide - Saku Sporting	3:2
24.04.26	Saku Sporting - Paide	1:4

Saku Sporting - Paide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide