The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salon Palloilijat 51.4%
Draw 22.9%
Jazz Pori 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
18.7%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
18.7%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salon Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salon Palloilijat's form might have worsened.
Jazz Pori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jazz Pori's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salon Palloilijat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jazz Pori than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jazz Pori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Salon Palloilijat - Jazz Pori Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Munukka A. (G) 4. Dementjeff T. 20. Jakonen O. 9. Lulli M. 24. Miyazaki Y. 6. Ndakala J. 18. Poysa S. 7. Rrustemi E. 28. Seidu S. 10. Voca G. (C) 5. Yao K.
1. Kangasaho T. (G) 8. Kaipiainen E. 5. Lakkamaki J. 14. Marttila J. 11. Mattila E. 3. Nuorela J. 17. Nuorela L. 16. Petrishin J. 22. Pulla J. 29. Raitanen P. 20. Tuominen E.
Substitutes
19. Jokiniemi N. 22. Kadowaki S. 13. Kostian J. 17. Pan L. 14. Ranta A. 12. Rintamaki O. (G) 11. Rrustemi E. 23. Ruponen R.
6. Aydin N. 7. Harjanne C. 9. Lamberg E. 4. Luhtanen A. 26. Takala A. (G) 12. Vare E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Pulla J. ⚽,
44', Voca G. 🟨,
44', Lakkamaki J. 🟨,
45+2', Petrishin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lulli M. ↓, Kostian J. ↑,
59', Puustinen N. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Mattila E. ⚽,
71', Rrustemi E. ↓,
72', Miyazaki Y. ↓, Kadowaki S. ↑,
72', Poysa S. ↓, Jokiniemi N. ↑,
75', Petrishin J. ↓, Vare E. ↑,
90+1', Pulla J. ↓, Luhtanen A. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SalPa won 3.
SalPa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jazz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
SalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, SalPa is seen as the favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SalPa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, SalPa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
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Munukka A. (G) 
Lulli M. 
Miyazaki Y. 
Seidu S. 
Yao K. 
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