Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sammaurese		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.1	2.2
	2.95	3.1	2.26
	3.04	3.04	2.24
	3.09	3.14	2.24
	3.06	3.1	2.23
	2.95	3.1	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.91)	3.1 ↓ (3.13)	2.24 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sammaurese
30.3%

Draw
29.3%

Fiorenzuola
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Sammaurese - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Morri E. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sammaurese won 0.

Sammaurese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fiorenzuola is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fiorenzuola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sammaurese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sammaurese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.11.24	Imolese - Sammaurese	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Sammaurese - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Piacenza - Sammaurese	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Sammaurese - Tau Altopascio	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Sammaurese - Corticella	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTLL
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.11.24	Fiorenzuola - Progresso	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Cittadella Vis Modena - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Fiorenzuola - United Riccione	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Tau Altopascio - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Forlì - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
14.04.21	Sammaurese - Fiorenzuola	1:2
23.12.20	Fiorenzuola - Sammaurese	1:1
19.01.20	Sammaurese - Fiorenzuola	1:2
15.09.19	Fiorenzuola - Sammaurese	2:1
21.02.18	Sammaurese - Fiorenzuola	0:0
18.10.17	Fiorenzuola - Sammaurese	1:0

Sammaurese - Fiorenzuola