The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sammaurese 30.3%
Draw 29.3%
Fiorenzuola 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
29.1%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
26.5%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Sammaurese - Fiorenzuola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Morri E. ⚽,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sammaurese won 0.
Sammaurese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Fiorenzuola is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fiorenzuola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Sammaurese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Sammaurese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
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