Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sampaio Corrêa |
|
Parnahyba |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.35 |
6.1 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.4 |
6.39 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.25 |
6.57 |
|
 |
1.57 |
3.1 |
6 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.28 |
6.42 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(2.07) |
3.28 ↑
(2.85) |
6.3 ↑
(3.87) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa
57.9% | Draw
27.7% | Parnahyba
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.Parnahyba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parnahyba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parnahyba than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Parnahyba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sampaio Corrêa - Parnahyba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Cremosinho ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Patrik ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Gean Carlos ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 3 - 1, Freitas F. ⚽,
- 81', 4 - 1, Gean Carlos ⚽,
Preview
Sampaio Corrêa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Parnahyba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Parnahyba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Sampaio Corrêa is seen as the favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).Including home match between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 26.04.26 | Parnahyba - Sampaio Corrêa | 1:0 | | 20.07.25 | Parnahyba - Sampaio Corrêa | 2:2 | | 26.04.25 | Sampaio Corrêa - Parnahyba | 1:0 |
|
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
