Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 25

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Gareji Sagarejo

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.60	4.30
	1.66	3.72	4.12
	1.65	3.67	4.66	Watch
	1.64	3.65	4.05
	1.68	3.83	4.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.82)	3.69 ↑ (3.6)	4.32 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Samtredia
54.8%

Draw
24.4%

Gareji Sagarejo
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lazarevs V. (G) 2. Gvishiani G. 16. Dobranskyi D. 25. Gaye M. 15. Kveladze G. (C) 20. Gagnidze O. 31. Tsulaia L. 32. Lopez B. 11. Odikadze T. 26. Gogitadze L. 37. Gvasalia D.	12. Bediashvili G. (G) 30. Zurabiani D. 24. Samadashvili G. 26. Eradze Z. 15. Kapanadze T. 4. Tolordava L. (C) 21. Mushkudiani M. 10. Babunadze T. 17. Kalandadze L. 29. Gugberidze B. 23. Gulisashvili I.
Substitutes
6. Ayuk E. 21. Baratelia R. 8. Barrios E. 40. Chikovani T. 19. Jangidze T. 36. Kakulia E. 22. Patarkatsishvili L. 38. Polishchuk D. 1. Samkharadze S.	32. Abramishvili G. (G) 11. Aidarashvili D. 22. Grigalashvili N. 35. Kikvadze G. 7. Kometiani M. 5. Nikolaishvili G. 14. Tchikaidze I. 8. Tsetskhladze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Gogitadze L. ⚽, Kveladze G. (A),
27', Gvasalia D. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Gulisashvili I. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Kveladze G. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 1, Gogitadze L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Mushkudiani M. 🟨,
50', Mushkudiani M. ↓, Tchikaidze I. ↑,
54', Kalandadze L. ↓, Aidarashvili D. ↑,
60', Gogitadze L. ↓, Barrios E. ↑,
60', Odikadze T. ↓, Ayuk E. ↑,
60', Dobranskyi D. ↓, Jangidze T. ↑,
69', Barrios E. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
71', Gagnidze O. ↓, Chikovani T. ↑,
72', Zurabiani D. ↓, Grigalashvili N. ↑,
72', Gulisashvili I. ↓, Kikvadze G. ↑,
72', Gugberidze B. ↓, Kometiani M. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Chikovani T. ⚽, Barrios E. (A),
81', 5 - 1, Barrios E. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Gvasalia D. ↓, Patarkatsishvili L. ↑,
90', 6 - 1, Chikovani T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 1.

Samtredia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gareji has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gareji has had a series of home games.

Samtredia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Samtredia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Gareji Sagarejo	27	14	8	5	35:28	7	50
5	Samtredia	27	11	4	12	48:40	8	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
07.09.26	Telavi - Samtredia	0:3 ✺
Georgian Cup
02.09.26	Samtredia - Iberia 1999	2:0 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
28.08.26	Samtredia - Odishi 1919	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Shturmi - Samtredia	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Samtredia - Gori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.9 WWWWW
- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
06.09.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Sioni Bolnisi	3:3 ✺
29.08.26	Merani Martvili - Gareji Sagarejo	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Kolkheti Poti	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Aragvi Dusheti	0:2 ✺
Georgian Cup
02.08.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Gagra	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
30.05.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Samtredia	3:2
18.04.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1
Georgian Cup
27.07.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Samtredia	5:0
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.12.23	Gareji Sagarejo - Samtredia	3:1
06.12.23	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	4:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
23.10.22	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	2:0
28.08.22	Gareji Sagarejo - Samtredia	4:0

Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide