Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - First stage - Round 12

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday


	San Lorenzo 2		Belgrano 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.7	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.46
	2.9	3.05	2.47
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.86	3.21	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.77)	3.15 ↓ (3.33)	2.39 (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo 2
32.7%

Draw
29%

Belgrano 2
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.8%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.6%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Alassia G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Hernandez M. ⚽,
71', Ayala E. 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (First stage ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches San Lorenzo 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belgrano 2 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.05.24	Banfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
25.04.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:1 ✺
18.04.24	Instituto 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
11.04.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:1 ✺
02.04.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTTLT
- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.05.24	Belgrano 2 - Racing Club 2	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	4:0 ✺
17.04.24	Belgrano 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	6:2 ✺
09.04.24	Rosario Central 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1 ✺
03.04.24	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Belgrano 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
23.08.23	Belgrano 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2
13.07.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1

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