Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	San Lorenzo 2		Deportivo Riestra 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.35	4.55	Watch
	1.72	3.53	4.77
	2.79	3.56	2.26	Watch
	1.71	3.34	4.68
	1.65	3.4	5.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.6)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)	4.26 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo 2
49.9%

Draw
27.7%

Deportivo Riestra 2
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

26.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

25.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo 2's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Riestra 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Riestra 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra 2 than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Riestra 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Lorenzo 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Deportivo Riestra 2 (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15).

San Lorenzo 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Riestra 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Riestra 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Lorenzo 2 is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo 2 won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, San Lorenzo 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
09.10.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
02.10.25	San Lorenzo 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	2:2 ✺
25.09.25	Lanús 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Independiente 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWWL
- Deportivo Riestra 2
Argentinian Reserve League
08.10.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Platense 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
18.09.25	River Plate 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
13.05.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:0
01.10.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:0
25.04.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:1

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