Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - Second stage - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	San Lorenzo 2		Boca Juniors 2

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.55	2.8	2.85
	2.56	2.89	3.07
	2.54	2.74	3.04
	2.75	2.8	2.6
	2.46	2.75	3.04
	2.55	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.02)	2.8 ↑ (2.74)	2.87 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo 2
35.6%

Draw
32.6%

Boca Juniors 2
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

33.4%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

34.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Lorenzo 2's performance.

Boca Juniors 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Lorenzo 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.11.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Belgrano 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:3 ✺
11.10.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Banfield 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWWW
- Boca Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.11.24	Boca Juniors 2 - Racing Club 2	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Boca Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:0 ✺
22.10.24	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
16.10.24	Boca Juniors 2 - Lanús 2	2:0 ✺
11.10.24	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
26.10.23	Boca Juniors 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:0
10.04.23	Boca Juniors 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:0
08.07.22	Boca Juniors 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:1

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