Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Boca Juniors 2		Newells Old Boys 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.3	4.75
	1.8	3.4	4.85
	1.73	3.43	4.74	Watch
	1.69	3.25	5.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.63)	3.35 ↓ (3.48)	4.85 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors 2
53.4%

Draw
27.6%

Newells Old Boys 2
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.9%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Boca Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Zampieri S. ⚽,
77', 2 - 0, Dalmasso S. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors 2 won 2.

Boca Juniors 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Newells Old Boys 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Boca Juniors 2 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Boca Juniors 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors 2 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.09.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
10.09.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Central Córdoba 2	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	1:1 ✺
26.08.25	Aldosivi 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Banfield 2	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTWW
- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.09.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Belgrano 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:1 ✺
05.09.25	Rosario Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:2
29.10.24	Boca Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:0
30.05.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1
31.10.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:0
20.07.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1
18.10.22	Boca Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:1

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