The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente 2 40.9%
Draw 30.5%
San Lorenzo 2 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
30%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
28.8%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
The chances for San Lorenzo 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Independiente 2 - San Lorenzo 2 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
In recent matches, Independiente 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Lorenzo 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
San Lorenzo 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Independiente 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Argentina
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