Match Info

Primera A Women - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max


	San Lorenzo de Almagro		River Plate

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.65
	2.6	3.1	2.92
	2.30	2.98	3.21	Watch
	2.44	3.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.32)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo de Almagro
38.2%

Draw
29.4%

River Plate
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

San Lorenzo de Almagro - River Plate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo de Almagro Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
05.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Vélez Sársfield	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo de Almagro	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Banfield	0:0 ✺
11.08.25	Racing - San Lorenzo de Almagro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTT
- River Plate Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
05.09.25	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	River Plate - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Banfield - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
28.04.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - River Plate	0:1
05.12.24	San Lorenzo de Almagro - River Plate	1:0
20.06.24	River Plate - San Lorenzo de Almagro	2:1
05.10.23	River Plate - San Lorenzo de Almagro	1:0
26.03.23	River Plate - San Lorenzo de Almagro	1:1
28.05.22	River Plate - San Lorenzo de Almagro	0:0

San Lorenzo de Almagro - River Plate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide